Wednesday, November 28, 2007

where is RPL heading?

RPL is a scrip everybody tracking these days....... its really amazing so see the hike in the scrip its movements unpredictable..... in june whn it ws trading around 95 n 108---118 thn i tht its gonna hit new highs n i had set a target of around 132 for july but then the correction happened in august n RPL too crashed n went to 105 levels but it didnt break 105 then i was sure that it will not go bellow 105 and will touch new highs........ n it did .... it crossed 118 its resistance....... but then speculators started playing with the scrip everybody thought it will only go to 132 in sept but it crossed 132 too n went to 152 levels n closed 151 for sept series....... then there was no looking back n it started moving like anything and made 7-10% movements in a day and here the threat occures when speculators playing with the scrip you never know where it will head to....... n it becomes risky play and RPL hitting 295 life time high and came down drastically to 220 in just few days.... @ 295 it was too costly and even @ 220 its not that cheap though but if u have long term view say atleast 1 year then it doesnt look expensive considering that the refinery is way ahead of its schedule and its been Mukesh Ambani's record that he has completed all his projects ahead of scedule say 5-6 months......... so if its record date is nov 08 i think it will be completed by may 08 and production should start around june......... so if it happens you will see high jump in the price of RPL and it will be trading around 400 ........ so RPL is a high potential stock and has a very good business model.........
When i say RPL will be trading around 700+ levels exactly a yr later, people ask me if it trades tht levels then its market capital will be 5lakh crore and whcih seems unrealistic for them........ but i say if now when it yet to have started its refinery n still its market cap is more than that of INFY then anything can be possible cos its a OIL story after all........
SO I STRONGLY RECCOMOND THIS SCRIP and its a buy at every dips......... and if you are a long term investor then its a MUST in your portfolio......... so go n grab it..........

Saturday, October 13, 2007

A correction is a must..........

After the big crash in august mkts started moving towards new highs nobody had predicted..........its a run of everybody's dream but it becomes very risky mkt becos of the straight rally of more thn 4k points from 13900 to almost 18800+ .......... so whn yday mkt took a breath i felt very good since i too wanted to see some profit booking in the mkts so tht valuations become attractive to buy new scrips..... let us see what happens on monday it has broken support of 5450 in nifty n if it breaks levels of 5410 thn it wll go further down......... so just wait n watch.......

Thursday, April 26, 2007

Book Profits

Start booking profits in your stocks since market may correct this month.........almost all the company's results are out and now there doesnt seem any immediate trigger to get markets new highs........so nearing to 14500 in sensex and 4210 in nifty start partially booking profits in your stocks.....means half the quantity......
always stay invested in front line stocks.........
good to buy... ABB, IFCI, RPL.........

Tuesday, April 10, 2007

where will market go?

Last week when RBI hiked CRR rates, it changed the fundamentals of the market to some extent, it will have its impact on the companies' profits, as it has started showing its impact, two wheeler sales have come down, and FMCG companies too will have its negative effects......The Rupee appreciation will affect the earnings of the software guaints.......so all these things showing market would go sideways for a midium term....

All the eyes are now on the earings of Q4 of 07 of the companies.....Infosys results will come this week ....and it will decide the markets direction.....it it comes as the expectations of the market then it will definitely go up but if they dont meet the expectations then markets will go down and the chanes are it will go down.....

The market has become unpredictable, one day its down 615 points, and then it started moving up....but still I dont feel confident of the movements, it has not shopwing any directions. So its better to wait and watch. Or buy those blue chip stocks which were looking costly a month back.
There are still few stocks where you can put your money in midcaps too.....like Indiabulls, IFCI, Sonata Soft.........never ignore RPL ....this stock is a must have in your protfolio.
So invest in the stocks where interest rate hikes has minimal impact.....like BHEL, SIEMENS, IFCI,RPL, BHARTI, Reliance communications, Idea.....

Thursday, March 22, 2007

correction over?

After many days of bearish mood markets on monday started moving up. First two days bit caucious but yesterday it gave a good upward movement and today its showing clear up moves. So if you were sitting on cash buy your favourite stock now. Capital goods, banks look good.....all the market is very confident. Nifty sustains over 3671 levels, and sensex has broken the barriers of 12800 levels....so it looks bullish now.......
IFCI looks very good for long term.

Tuesday, March 20, 2007

how to pick good stocks

So how to pick good stocks for invest ment point of view? So always go for fundamentally strong companies, which you know since long, their business model should be good. Managemnt should be professional. And sector hould be doing well, reasonably valued should not have high PE ratio( its mntioned in the newspapers too,so chek it) 5-8 PE is good to invest, and it is more than 40 odd then stay away of the scrip and wait till correction.
When markets starts going up then you should enter, first decide which stocks you want to buy, write down on paper at which rate you want it. Check high and lows of the year, always try to buy 25% lower level of the 52week high. One must always carry 20% cash in his portfolio so when markets cracks o0r has correction you can buy your faviourite stocks or even averagfe your earlier scrips too.
Always try to invest in leaders of the sector, say in technology Infosys is the leader, so always try to buy infosys, no matter it is bit costly but it will give you very good and firm returns...so if you have Rs.5000/- to invest buy 2 infy instead of buying any low rate mid cap or small cap stocks cos it will not give you firm and good return in long term.
So first decide how much money you want to put in stocks, then make a paper work then go for leaders and your price, when it comes to that level, put your money, it should always be considered that markets may go dwon and the price at which you have bought the stock too might fall, but always think of longer prospective and then you will find that it gives you atleast 25-30% returns on your investment. So never scare or worry if your scrip goes down once the correction is over it too will move up....and if you the front line stocks then they move fast and first.
so where can you invest now when sensex is @12706 and nifty@ 3697..
so you can put your money in
BHARTI........around 720-740
INFOSYS.......2050
BHEL..........1950-2000
SAIL..........102-104
L&T...........1450-1550
ABB...........3250-3300
SIEMEN........1000-1050
M&M............720-730

dicloser: infosys,sail,siemens

Sunday, March 18, 2007

Technical and Fundamental

So what is technical and fundamental views of the market? technical view is at certain point the market of a perticular scrips have barriers or hv resistances and the scrip goes till it and again comes back, or if it its resistance, where traders take out their money and again they wait the scrip to go down to a certain level, where they want to buy it...so many times you might have seen stocks moving in the range ...so they are range bound, they try to break their resistance but whenever it touches the certain level traders are again active and they sell it and it creats selling pressure and again the stock comes down...it has a stop loss too, so what is it? It means if it breaks its downside level then the sentiment is panic for it and it will go further downside.... traders get panic and sell ...when it breaks its resistance,that is its upside barrier then it will go further up.....traders follow certain technical charts and they are formed on various issues. The chartists gives these chart patterns on day today basis and short term and long term too.
What is fundamental?
We as an invester should always follow fundamental charts that is how the company is doing? who are the promoters? how the sector is doing? what are the global views? and what are the political views? so they all give impact on the fundamental charts, it will tell you the company's balance sheet, their order book, work model, etc. So if it is doing well then they have strong fundamentals, and one need not to worry if a correction is there because when the correction is over it will definitely attract investers towards it because investers also want good returns of their money, and they will be ready to invest in such fundamentally strong companies, so always think a correction as an good opportunity to invest in our favourite stocks.